Bitcoin Bull Run: $130K Target by March? March Effect in Play

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Georgi Shopov
21 January, 2025, 18:15
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Bitcoin’s Bull Cycle: The ‘March Effect’ Points to a $130K Target

With Donald Trump’s inauguration yesterday, the markets seem poised to move forward without distractions. Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is entering the final year of its bull cycle, and historical trends suggest that January–March could deliver a powerful uptrend, reinforcing what we now call ‘The March Effect.’

The ‘March Effect’: A Pattern Across Bull Cycles

Analyzing the last four Bitcoin bull cycles, a distinct pattern emerges during the final year:

Support Below 1D MA100 – Bitcoin finds temporary support below the 1-Day Moving Average 100 (green trend-line) before breaking above it.
January Consolidation – After reclaiming the 1D MA100 as support, BTC enters a consolidation phase in January.
Second Drop to MA100 – BTC tests the 1D MA100 again, marking the final accumulation zone before resuming its uptrend.
March Peak Formation – Bitcoin surges towards a March peak, where it enters a second consolidation phase before continuing higher.

This cyclical structure has played out consistently in Bitcoin’s final bull year, and January 13, 2025, was already a close test of the 1D MA100, confirming that the pattern is unfolding.

Bitcoin Price Prediction: $130K by March?

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Given Bitcoin’s historical behavior in final bull cycle years, analysts expect BTC to peak at $130,000 by March 2025. This aligns with its parabolic phase, as institutional inflows and post-inauguration market confidence boost price action.

Will Bitcoin break past $130K? Stay tuned for our in-depth analysis!

Source: TradingShot