Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 1-Hour Chart Analysis: Reversal in Play or Dead-Cat Bounce?
After experiencing a notable correction, Bitcoin (BTC/USD) appears to be stabilizing within a crucial support zone between $107,755 and $106,936. This area has attracted significant buyer interest in recent hours, hinting at a potential bullish reversal in the short term. With the descending trendline now broken, traders are watching closely for signs of continued upside momentum.
In this article, we’ll break down the 1-hour technical chart setup for BTC/USD, analyze possible bullish and bearish outcomes, and identify key support and resistance levels that could define the next move.
Trendline Break Signals a Shift in Momentum
The recent correction brought Bitcoin down sharply, but it has since found footing near the $107,000 range, a zone that has served as support in past sessions. The descending trendline—which has been acting as a ceiling over the past 24–48 hours—has now been decisively broken, indicating that sellers may be losing control, at least in the short term.
Trendline Analysis:
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Descending trendline break typically indicates buyer strength and a possible shift in trend.
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Momentum indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) have begun to turn up from oversold territory.
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Volume remains moderate but is showing signs of increasing as bulls attempt to reclaim higher ground.
Bullish Scenario: Can Bitcoin Reclaim $110K?
If BTC can hold above $107,755, this would confirm the support zone and potentially pave the way for a bullish continuation.
Short-Term Bullish Targets:
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$108,788 – First Resistance Zone
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This level was previously support and now acts as immediate resistance.
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A confirmed breakout above this point could shift intraday sentiment firmly in favor of the bulls.
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$109,509 – Target Zone
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A level that aligns with previous price congestion and Fibonacci extension levels.
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A move to this area could represent a complete short-term recovery leg from the current bounce.
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$110,321 – Major Resistance
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This is the final barrier before BTC can resume its broader bullish trend.
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A strong breakout above this area could signal a return to bullish control, potentially reigniting momentum toward the mid-May highs.
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Note: For this bullish scenario to hold, BTC must remain above the $107,755 support zone with increasing volume and momentum confirmation on the 1-hour chart.
Key Support Levels: The Line in the Sand
While the current structure supports a short-term bullish view, risk remains. If the support fails to hold, BTC could retrace deeper, putting further pressure on market sentiment.
Watch These Key Support Zones:
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$107,755 – First Support Level
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A breakdown below this level would invalidate the recent breakout.
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May trigger a return to the lower support at $106,936.
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$106,936 – Critical Support Zone
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Last line of defense before broader selling pressure could resume.
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Below this level, BTC could revisit previous demand zones around $105,000–$104,500, with more pronounced downside risks.
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Neutral to Bearish Scenario: Fakeout or Real Reversal?
There is also a risk that this recent breakout is a false signal, commonly referred to as a bull trap. This often occurs when the price briefly breaks resistance before quickly reversing and trapping breakout traders.
Signs of a Bearish Fakeout:
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Price fails to hold above $107,755.
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Volume weakens despite the breakout.
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Momentum indicators roll over near overbought levels without confirmation of trend continuation.
In this scenario, traders should watch for:
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A possible return inside the descending channel.
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Renewed selling pressure targeting $106,936 and lower.
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Breakdown patterns such as bearish engulfing candles, rising wedge formations, or failing retests of broken support.
Technical Indicators to Watch
To confirm a bullish or bearish continuation, keep an eye on the following indicators:
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RSI (Relative Strength Index):
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A break above 60 would suggest bullish strength.
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A drop below 40 on the 1H chart would signal weakening momentum.
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MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
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A bullish crossover just occurred, supporting the reversal narrative.
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If the MACD line crosses back below the signal line, the trend may turn back down.
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Volume:
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Rising volume is needed to validate any move.
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Low volume on upward moves suggests lack of conviction and possible pullback.
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ï¸ Risk Management Tips
As with any trade setup, it’s essential to manage your risk properly:
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Use tight stop-loss orders below the $106,936 level if entering on a long position.
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Consider partial profit-taking at resistance levels such as $108,788 and $109,509.
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Avoid overleveraging, especially in uncertain price action.
Conclusion: What Comes Next for BTC/USD?
Bitcoin’s price action on the 1-hour chart is starting to shift bullishly, thanks to a descending trendline breakout and stabilization at key support. However, the real test lies ahead—can BTC reclaim $108,788 with conviction and push toward $109,509 and beyond?
Until then, traders should remain cautiously optimistic but ready for either scenario. This is a technical turning point, and how BTC reacts in the next few candles will likely define the next 24–48 hours of price action.
Key Levels Recap
$110,321 | Major Resistance | Breakout target for full bullish reversal |
$109,509 | Target Zone | Likely next stop if momentum continues |
$108,788 | First Resistance | Immediate test for bulls |
$107,755 | Support | Must hold to confirm breakout |
$106,936 | Critical Support | Breakdown leads to bearish continuation |
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Nikolaj Krastev publication: "Bitcoin Price Eyes Recovery: Key Levels to Watch After Trendline Break" was written for 24crypto.newsNews from today
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