TRON (TRX) Futures Jump 170% as USDT Soars

TRON Futures Surge 170% as Tether Supply Soars $23B — Is a Major TRON (TRX) Rally Ahead?

TRON Futures Market Heats Up as Buyers Seize Control

The TRON (TRX) market has shown a remarkable surge in bullish activity, with a 170% jump in TRON Futures netflow to $7.48 million, signaling an aggressive influx of buyer interest. This rise points to growing confidence among traders that TRX could be gearing up for a potential breakout from its current price consolidation phase.

While the spot market has remained largely muted, futures traders are actively accumulating positions, hinting at a potential shift in market sentiment that could have significant implications for TRX price action in the coming weeks.

TRX Price Consolidates as Investors Await Next Move

After rebounding to $0.3549 just three days ago, TRX has been confined to a narrow range between $0.34 and $0.35. As of this writing, TRX trades around $0.351, representing a modest 0.17% dip in the last 24 hours.

This quiet price action reflects a period of accumulation and investor indecision, where market participants appear to be positioning themselves for the next major move. The key question now is whether bullish futures momentum and rising stablecoin supply will be enough to propel TRX beyond resistance.

Strong Futures Activity Shows Bullish Momentum Building

Futures Buyers Gain Upper Hand

According to CryptoQuant analyst Burak Kesmeci, TRON’s Taker CVD (90D) has been in the green for three consecutive days—the second time this has happened in 2025. The last similar instance was between March 15 and June 15, when TRX surged from $0.26 to $0.29, highlighting how this metric can foreshadow sustained bullish momentum.

This metric measures the cumulative volume delta of market orders and is a strong indicator of buyer dominance in the derivatives market.

Futures Inflows Surge

Fresh data from CoinGlass further supports the bullish narrative. Futures inflows have climbed to $75.38 million, surpassing $67.91 million in outflows. This imbalance pushed TRON’s Futures Netflow up 170% to $7.48 million, underscoring a massive uptick in capital entering long positions.

Such a decisive shift suggests that institutional and high-leverage traders are actively betting on higher TRX prices.

Spot Market Sends Mixed Signals

While the futures market signals optimism, the spot market paints a more cautious picture.

Sellers Still Dominant in Spot

Data from CryptoQuant shows that TRON’s Spot Taker CVD (90D) has been in the red for over 30 days, meaning sellers are hitting bids more aggressively than buyers are lifting asks. This indicates persistent bearish sentiment on the spot side.

Additionally, TRON’s Spot Netflow just turned positive after staying negative for two days. Inflows hit $52.24 million versus $51.19 million in outflows, pushing netflow up 110% to $1.05 million. While positive netflows often signal accumulation, in this case, it likely reflects aggressive repositioning and potential short-term profit-taking.

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This divergence between futures and spot market behavior shows that short-term retail sentiment remains cautious even as professional traders go long.

Explosive Growth in Tether Supply on TRON

Beyond market structure, another crucial factor strengthening the TRON ecosystem is the surge in Tether (USDT) supply on TRON’s network. According to on-chain analyst Darkfost, USDT circulating on TRON has skyrocketed to $23 billion in 2025, a milestone that underscores rising demand for TRON-based transactions and user activity.

Why USDT Supply Matters

Historically, increases in USDT supply on TRON have correlated with TRX price rallies. More stablecoin liquidity on-chain means:

Higher transactional velocity, as users leverage USDT for DeFi, remittances, and payments.
More demand for TRON network resources like bandwidth and energy, driving TRX utility.
Improved market depth, reducing slippage and allowing larger buy orders.

When USDT supply contracts, TRX often consolidates or corrects. The current spike, therefore, may serve as an early indicator of renewed bullish momentum building under the surface.

Network Fundamentals Support Bullish Case

The growing supply of stablecoins reflects not just investor speculation but also real economic activity and user growth on TRON’s network. This is crucial because network fundamentals often precede price trends. Some key positive indicators include:

TRON consistently leading as the largest blockchain for USDT transfers, surpassing rivals like Ethereum and BNB Chain.
Lower transaction fees and faster settlement speeds, which continue to attract users and developers.
Rising daily active addresses and transaction counts, signaling robust organic usage.
Expanding presence in DeFi and stablecoin remittance markets, especially across Asia and emerging economies.

Together, these trends paint a picture of a healthy, growing ecosystem, which increases the probability that price appreciation will eventually follow usage growth.

Can TRX Break Out of Its Range?

With all eyes on TRX’s next move, here are the key price levels and scenarios to watch:

Upside Scenario: If futures demand remains strong and USDT supply continues to rise, TRX could break above $0.355 and challenge the $0.37 resistance zone. A decisive close above $0.37 would likely open the door to further upside momentum.
Downside Scenario: If spot market selling intensifies, TRX may remain stuck in the $0.34–$0.35 consolidation range, with $0.344 acting as immediate support. A breakdown below this level could extend losses toward the $0.33 psychological support.
Neutral Scenario: TRX may also continue to range sideways while market participants await a clearer catalyst — possibly in the form of macro news, regulatory updates, or a broader crypto market rally.

Bottom Line: TRX Poised for a Potential Breakout

TRON currently sits at a critical inflection point. On one hand, futures traders are increasingly bullish, with netflows up 170% and buyer dominance building rapidly. On the other hand, spot traders remain cautious, though this hesitation may be a lagging sentiment that fades if TRX breaks resistance.

Crucially, the explosive $23 billion surge in Tether supply on the TRON network suggests strong underlying demand and expanding user activity — both of which historically precede price appreciation.

If these bullish drivers align, TRX could emerge from its consolidation zone and launch toward $0.37 and beyond. However, traders should monitor spot market flows closely for signs of resistance or profit-taking that could delay the rally.

For now, TRON appears to be quietly gearing up for its next major move — and the market may not stay quiet for long.